Political Analyst Barone Picks Romney in a Landslide

U.S. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney greets audience members at a campaign rally in Etna, Ohio November 2, 2012. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Political analyst Michael Barone made his predictions today and sees Mitt Romney winning the election next Tuesday in a landslide.
Barone went out on a limb picking Mitt to win 315 electoral votes to Obama’s 223.
The Examiner reported:

Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.

But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery — Friday’s jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.

Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who don’t identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, break for Romney.

That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32 percent, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting — and about their candidate — than they were in 2008, and Democrats are less so.

That’s been apparent in early or absentee voting, in which Democrats trail their 2008 numbers in target states Virginia, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada.

The Obama campaign strategy, from the beginning, has recognized these handicaps, running barrages of early anti-Romney ads in states that Obama carried narrowly. But other states, not so heavily barraged, have come into contention.

Read Michael Barone’s individual state picks here.

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  • Bigkahuna

    He has pissed off so many voters and disappointed many others. I simply don’t see how Obama wins

  • Look-Out

    Thank you, Mr. Barone. You are at the top in your field.

    But let it only drive us to the ballot boxes to make it a reality. WE HAVE VICTORY WITHIN OUR GRASP.


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  • Jeremiah Lloyd

    Get out and vote. No emotions, no fear, this is to save your country. Romney whether he wins or not wimped out/was an idiot. It was bound to eventually be reflected in the poll. Don’t believe it’s going to be a blowout with Romney’s silence on Benghazi, the American voter is too smart. It’s like forgetting to ask a voter for his vote. I go with Rassmussen.

    As far as I’m concerned both Roberts and Christi are dead to me. I wouldn’t walk across the street to piss on them. Christi is probably personally responsible for two of the points.

    Chearleader Dick Morris has all of a sudden got religion:

    With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a 2-point gain for Obama.

    Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney 2 points ahead, the poll now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome.

    And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by 2 points but in Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.

    We have also seen slippage for Romney in Michigan.

    More troubling, Rasmussen shows a 2-point gain for Obama in job approval, rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.

    All of these changes are, no doubt, related to Hurricane Sandy.

    Nobody really knows what the impact of Hurricane Sandy will be on the election.

    Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.

  • NeoKong

    I want a Romney White House and a 52 seat Senate that includes Todd Akin.
    Is that so much to ask…?

  • RealMc





    R&R 2012.

  • John

    Obama failed. He failed to destroy the country in the first four years, we are more resilient than he thought.

  • MicahStone

    In dingbat pelosi’s town, lunatic-left-ville San Francisco, the d-cRAT socialists in charge are ready to “capitalize” (ironic word here, isn’t it?) on Romney’s landslide. They’ll be selling spots on the Golden Gate for the socialist extremists who can’t live without their Dear Leader to use for suicide jumps into the bay. If the demand warrants, they’ll let the d-cRAT losers jump off in groups of 1000. With luck, SF should be able to accommodate at least 250,000 leftists Nov 6 evening through Nov 7. Of course, by then, the socialists will be so depressed and despondent they won’t be able to wait for a jumping slot and will find other means to off themselves. All in all, these events should prove to be the best contributions to America and to humanity that the lunatic-left has ever made – and I thank them, in advance, for that.

  • Sam Stone

    I predict 6% Romney Ryan. Have since spring. I can’t fathom the majority of the voting public re-electing the incumbent. If they do, I feel like I would be living in a foreign country.

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  • Sam Stone

    Obama won by about 7% points in 2008. In 4 years has he GAINED any votes?
    Those who may have voted for Obama when they entered college 4 years ago will now say what?
    Those religious voters who may have voted for Obama and now see their religious beliefs violated now say what?
    Will any previous McCain voters now vote Obama/Crazy Uncle Joe?
    Will any previous Obama/Crazy Uncle Joe voters now vote for Romney/Ryan?

  • Oliver

    jeez I hope this guy knows what he’s talking about.
    voter fraud and funny business is a real concern that only a landslide may overcome.

  • Look-Out

    Don’t remind me of that Chris Christie. Like the Red Cross, he feeds himself first.

    He showed what we feared he was at the Republican Convention. Did he ever stop tooting his own horn? I stopped listening.

  • http://none TommyB

    I would expect that each of you would be as gracious in defeat as you would be in victory. Obama might surprise.

  • Granny

    #4 – I wouldn’t pay attention to that at all. Rasmussen is a rolling poll and it got pretty disrupted by the storm.

    As a matter of fact, I might almost be willing to put New York in play with NYC knocked out. I’ve heard it said that without NYC that NY state would be red. They can’t even get water to people, never mind get the polling places open. And if they DO manage, who do you think all those people are going to vote for? I suspect it might not be those currently in charge.

  • Bob

    I’m not ready for a marxist dictatorship.

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  • SM-WI

    Here in Wisconsin—both me and my husband voted early for Romney/Ryan. And, my husband said that his 86 year old mother—-life long true blue Dem—who has NEVER EVER voted repub before said she was voting Romney/Ryan. I asked him a dozen times if she really said that. He said she said she just couldn’t vote for Obama again because she was thinking about her kids and grandkids, lack of jobs, Obamacare, etc! If my mother in law is voting Romney/Ryan, here in WI……she must be talking the same with her card club buddies and I’m thinking we’re going to turn WI RED on Tuesday!

  • Paz

    How did Rassmussen go from 52/47 to 48/48 in a week?

  • Glenn

    BTW,Ras actually had Romney up 484-47.6%. They rounded it off to 48-48.
    Also 4-maybe he should have mentioned Benghzi,I don’t know. Would the media bother covering it? Would they still not protect Obama? Would they not say Romney is playing politics? I don’t have the answers.
    I would also add that dramatics help nothing. Being hyserical when the fundamentals favor Romney is foolish. Also,where did Romney ever have a poll lead in PA or Michigan? I’ve never seen it.