Brit Hume: On Average US Polls Are Weighted Seven Points For Obama (Video)

FOX News analyst Brit Hume explains that the presidential polls this year give Obama on average a seven point advantage.

“There is considerable heartburn among Republicans these days over polls that seem to have a disprortionate number of Democrats responding… In a strong year for Democratic candidates more people will say their Democrats and vice versa… Four years ago in a very big for Democrats election day exit polling showed more Democrats voted than Republicans by seven percentage points. The same margin by the way that Barack Obama won the election. Not many people believe as many Democrats will vote this year. Yet a compilation of all recent polls by Pollster.com showed samples contained on average more Democrats by, you guessed it, seven percentage points.

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  • Will

    It’s called “Whistling in the Graveyard”

  • john b

    So, I can’t tell: is he saying that the pollsters are doing it right or doing it wrong?

  • George

    Just go out and VOTE!!

    Forget the polls!!

  • GreenDroll

    Only one poll counts, and as it gets nearer, news polls will track closer to the truth in order to not look like morons if the election does not match their polling predictions.

  • Stella Baskomb

    ” is he saying that the pollsters are doing it right or doing it wrong”

    I think he is not saying either. He is just pointing out that turnout is the key to the election. That seems almost self-evident, doesn’t it?

    If the actual Democrat vs. Republican turnout in 2012 is similar to 2008, then the polls will have predicted correctly. If not, then not.

    That’s just how polls work – they are predictions based partly on past results, and based partly on what a sample of people say in the present. Any prediction can be wrong if the actual facts do not materialize as predicted – even if the correct predictive methodology is applied perfectly.

  • gman

    Duh, we already knew this Brit. Look at the Fox poll, it’s one of the most democrat weighted….plus 9 dem.

  • Militant Conservative

    The bloom is off the rose. Obama is a dead fish at night he sticks and shines

    shines and stinks. Does anyone beleive he will get a massive turnout?

    The media is going to be shocked at the flood getting to the polls.

    I early voted for the real American that loves America.

    Obama couldn’t be best man at an all girls school.

  • bg
  • dwd

    Affirmative action?

  • Rose

    Brit is flip-flopping – I heard him talk up Romney gains, last week, then talk them down all week-end, now he is going to start pointing out the Dim SLANT???

    Good grief!

  • Glenmore

    Seven points is about the margin of cheating.

  • noway

    it is a caculated misleading calulation that is not based on current reality. using 2008 numbers 4 year old and not your normal voting mode? PLEASE that is misleading on purpose and it is a lie. let’s be plain about this.

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  • bg
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  • Bookdoc

    Just for fun, I’d like to see a poll weighted to the 2010 midyear figures. Might be interesting to see how that works out.

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