DONALD TRUMP Needs Only 53% of Remaining Delegates to Win – Cruz Is Finished in a Week

Guest Post by Joe Hoft

On Tuesday Donald Trump won New York state with over 60{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} of the votes giving him a comfortable lead over Senator Ted Cruz in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination.

Trump walked away with at least 89 of the 95 delegates and more than a half a million votes.  Senator Cruz unfortunately won no delegates after finishing third and winning only 15{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} of the vote.

Delegate Count 4-19 after NY AP

As of today Trump only needs 53{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} of the remaining GOP delegates to win the nomination.

Unfortunately for Cruz next week there are five more primaries out East and Donald Trump is the heavy favorite in these states. As reported previously Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from obtaining enough delegates to win the election outright by next Tuesday, April 26th.

On the other hand, Trump will need less than 50{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} of the remaining delegates after next week to win the election.

Delegate Count 4-19 after NY2

Chart by Joe Hoft

In recent weeks many Cruz supporters have reported that Cruz was on a roll. In an article titled “This is the week that Ted Cruz won the Republican nomination”, Redstate cheered –

  • “Cruz was finally given his chance to go toe to toe with Trump”
  • “Cruz domination”
  • “Trump needs 65{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} of the remaining delegates to get to 1237.”
  • “Should Cruz keep Trump under 50{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322} in New York, and force a split of New York’s delegates, and have Kasich and Cruz both be over 20{c18972fae7bad54fccba2a5109f73c6e4ffe73508739d7249e14c4c49d351322}, the split in delegates may be something like: 54 Trump, 11 Kasich, 30 Cruz.  Then Trump’s hill will become steep to the point of impossible.”

It now looks like this was all biased and hopeful expectations.
It’s going to be a rough week for Ted.

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