Final Battleground Poll Has Romney Winning Independents by 15 Points …Update: Romney Up in Rasmussen Poll

Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney kisses wife Ann Romney after they voted in Belmont, Mass., Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. (AP)

The final Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney winning Independents by 15 points.
The liberal media calls this a “Dead Heat.”

From the poll:
-Incumbent Obama at 47
-Romney winning Independents by 15 points
-Republicans leading in generic ballot

Politico reported”

The presidential race is tied going into Election Day.

The final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — conducted Sunday and Monday — shows Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama each claiming 47 percent nationally.

Our previous poll, conducted Monday through Thursday of last week, found the race tied at 48 percent. Although Romney and Obama have each led at times, the two candidates have stayed within the margin of error since the spring.

Independents break for Romney by 15 points, 47 percent to 32 percent.

Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Obama leads 49 percent to 43 percent.

On the generic congressional ballot, Republicans edge Democrats by 47 percent to 46 percent. It was tied last week.

An identical number of voters approve of the president’s job performance, 49 percent, as disapprove.

UPDATE: Mitt Romney is up in the final Rasmussen poll49-48.

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  • Remco Kimber

    Probably not enough mental health professionals or clinics to handle the predicted lefty meltdown.

    But there is a solution: Don’t bother helping them; let them jump off the bridges,

  • Monkey Wrench

    If you believe in polls, then Obama has a small but persistent lead in enough states to get more than 270 electorial college votes. I thought the general consensus on this site is that polls are not accurate.

  • J

    I remember the night of the 2000 election when the press asked President Bush what would happen to him if he was not elected. He replied, with surprise, “I have a life, I’m Governor of Texas and a great family, I’ll be fine. I have a life.”.
    Hopefully, Romney will win, but just as President Bush, Romney has a wonderful life.

  • Noovuss

    #2 Monkey Wrench

    Polls with 11+ Dem sample? Those polls?

  • Tighterlines64

    I can honestly say it felt so good to do my duty and vote this morning. I just wish there would have been a NBP at the door. It would have been even more rewarding to let it know I would be voting for Romney.

  • NeoKong

    The final sack of lies before their big parade of tears.
    For the last three months all these leftie pundits have been doing is talking to themselves to try and reassure themselves Obama will win.
    When reality slaps them in the face tonight around midnight they will be in shock.
    Shock and awwwwwwww…

  • Monkey Wrench

    Everyone should post their prediction on the final electorial college count. Not what you want to happen, but what will happen.

    I tend to believe the polls, so i predict Obama will get 306. Much less than he got in 2008.

  • Monkey Wrench


    Yes. Those polls are included in the average of all the polls.

  • Blythe

    Scroll through the cross-tabs. The sample appears to be D+7.5 (R400/I170/D430).

    If the 2012 electorate is, in fact, D+7.5 then Obama will probably win. If I recall correctly, the 2008 electorate was D+7. So this poll projects that the the Democrats have actually increased their proportion of the electorate since 2008. Possible, but not likely. And certainly inconsistent with all other data indicating increased Republican turnout.

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  • Monkey Wrench


    So what is your prediction?

  • Oliver

    Listening to some of the dem pundits this morning, it struck me that a lot of these people actually have no idea how bad Obama has been. I guess that’s what happens when everything you see/hear is filtered through the main stream media.

    As for a prediction – impossible for 2 reasons:
    – skewed, unreliable polling
    – no way to calculate “the margin of corruption” (as Pat Caddell called it last night on O’Reilly)

  • Monkey Wrench


    Oh come on. Give us a prediction. Surely there is some polling data that is not skewed. What about Rasmussen or Fox News polls?

  • Opus#6@AmericanPerspective

    Romney is the man for the job.

  • Spider

    Just voted in upstate NY.

    My votes in races with national consequences:

    Romney (R) – Next president
    Nan Hayworth (R) – Will retain seat in new CD18
    Wendy Long (R) – unknown US Senate candidate who will sadly lose to Gillebrand

  • Oliver

    I predict someone will win and someone will lose. If Obama wins, Americans will lose.

    Based on data from — 275 for (51%) Romney, 263 Obama

  • Larkin

    What everyone seems to be assuming, is that the +7.5 (or however many) dems turning out to vote is going to automatically help obama.

    This assumes that ALL dems are voting for o, and that’s just crazy.

    They have been just as “hammered” (as Fauxcohantas likes to say) as everyone else by o’s policies.

    That and the fact that o acts like a horse’s ass most of the time will turn many reasonable dems (and there are one or two out there) into Romney voters for at least one day.

  • Tom

    Actually if you go to the poll results Romney is up in the Politico poll 48-47. The story says 47-47 but the actual poll results indicate Romney us up +1. Here it is copied directly from their poll on pg 5

    7. If the Presidential election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote…
    –Mitt Romney, the Republican,
    — Barack Obama, the Democrat?
    Romney/definitely ……………………….. 44%
    IF “UNDECIDED”, ASK: Romney /probably …………………………. 4%
    And which candidate do you Romney/lean …………………………………….. *
    lean toward slightly?
    UNDECIDED (DNR) …………………….. 6%
    Would you say that you are Obama/lean …………………………………… 1%
    definitely going to vote Obama/probably ……………………………. 2%
    for him, or probably Obama/definitely …………………………. 44%
    going to vote for him?

    Add it up yourself. 48 for Romney (44+4) and 47 for Obama (44+2+1). Another misleading story from Politico

  • Sandy

    I believe the Republican Internal Polls. Romney is gonna win this and Media has made certain that there will be violence by oversampling Dems to give the appearance of an Obama victory.

  • Jane

    Spider: I just voted in Poughkeepsie, New York. Voted for Romney, Wendy Long ( she was much better than Kirsten Gillibrand in the debate) Nan Hayworth, Neil Decarlo for State Senate.