Hmm… Latest Poll Shows Even New Mexico Is in Play This Year …Update: Romney Ahead in Electoral Votes
Posted by Jim Hoft on Sunday, September 9, 2012, 5:01 PM
The Politico reported:
The state is not being treated as a battleground by either presidential campaign, but an Albuquerque Journal poll finds Barack Obama and Mitt Romney separated by just 5 percentage points there — and former Gov. Gary Johnson pulling down 7 percent as the Libertarian nominee:
Obama drew support from 45 percent of the New Mexico voters surveyed between Sept. 3 and Sept. 6, while Romney stayed within striking distance at 40 percent.
Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate for president, who also will be on the Nov. 6 ballot, had 7 percent support. Johnson subtracted almost equal numbers of votes from Obama and Romney, according to the poll, meaning his third-party candidacy was not more damaging to one than the other.
More here.
UPDATE: Mitt Romney’s electoral vote lead holds strong through both conventions – Mitt leads Obama 317-179.
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Ghost commented:
I know it’s expecting too much, but why isn’t every State up for grabs?
don’t people in Vermont and California visit supermarkets and gas stations?
or, maybe they don’t need a regular income or seek better living?
or, maybe they’d prefer a weakened and vulnerable America?
I get discouraged when I hear any Dem support in double figures.
but maybe, there are signals all around us
how many “(them) 2012″ signs have you seen?
a recent anecdote: vacation travelers to Maryland’s Eastern Shore report R&R yard signs everywhere. Maryland is a Top 5 reliable blue state, but Bongino (R) is making a decent run for Senate. I’d love to hear as many upsets Election Day as a typical College Football Saturday.
Good News is Good, but we can’t BELIEVE any poll, good or bad. For one thing, Election Fraud is a Giant Concern.
Jennifer commented:
As a New Mexican~I can say that this seems true. I wonder like Ghost, why EVERY state isn’t in play? Hope and Change rests with anyone besides the current administration.
TJexcite commented:
45 state will be battle ground states. New York, California, Hawaii, Minnesota and D.C. are the only ones that will not even look right when they cross the street, say nothing about voting rightward.
Kathteach commented:
Ghost – I believe very strongly – and I am not just ‘thinking wishfully’ but am pretty well read and a bit of an election nerd – that all states are in play for Romney.
I predict a landslide for Romney – even against whatever October surprise Obama has up his sleeve.
Even against the widespread Acorn-rooted organization’ efforts to cheat at the polls.
Romney seems to know when to hold ‘em as for the cards in this race……and I think that’s probably a very good strategy.
mg4us commented:
Agree with all the above. . .and I think AFTER DEBATES all states will be in play. .
Romney is Playing it cool and will first focus on the swing states. . .Once those are secure, it is every state then. . .let MSM and Obama chase Romney. . .
I heard in NM, Obama needing to open additional Field offices. . .Plus with Susan Martinez the new REPUBLICAN Gov, I think we have some good support for Romney. . .
With QE3, gas will go over $5/gal. . .
Already up 20 cents this weekend in NY/NJ
After first Debate, even NJ will be in Play
NY will hinge on whether Jewish voters care for Israel or not. . .
Valerie commented:
I think California might be in play. Obviously, they’re all Democrats, but the Democratic voters are thoroughly annoyed with their party for being profligate and incompetent and corrupt.
Democratic voters do believe in taxing and spending, but they want a lot of bang for their buck. The Democrats aren’t delivering.
Patty commented:
I suppose keeping track from now until November 6, already sick of it.
Patty commented:
Mitt leads Obama 317-179.
that’s good news.
Patty commented:
Obama/Biden Cozy Up To Blue Collar Voters
http://cdn.breitbart.com/mediaserver/Breitbart/Big-Government/2012/09/09/Bidenbiker.png?w=420
OMG
O, YES OT
Patty commented:
ot
As U.S. casualties mount in Afghanistan, passing 2,000 KIA in June, MSM suddenly forgets “grim milestone” phrase
Remember that phrase — “grim milestone” — whenever a round number of U.S. troops had perished in Afghanistan or Iraq? Gallons of ink were consumed to market the phrase during the years George W. Bush served as president.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-lZCxcUIRxl8/UEzuEwPkrGI/AAAAAAAA4O8/Sfl7i-bYgK4/s1600/120909-arlington.jpg
In August, the U.S. surpassed the 2,000 KIA mark in Afghanistan to almost no fanfare. As Dan Riehl observes, much of the U.S. is numb to the heroic sacrifices of our military, primarily because vintage media no longer has a Republican president to hammer.
In June, the number of fallen U.S. soldiers reached 2,000 in the Afghani theater of operations. More than twice as many U.S. troops have perished in Afghanistan under President Obama’s command in three-and-a-half years than during President Bush’s two terms in office.
And unlike the Bush era, most of big media completely ignored the grim milestone:
There was no story last week on the Afghanistan death “milestone” on ABC, NBC, the PBS NewsHour – or even on the MSNBC programs found in Nexis, including Rachel “Our Military’s In a Perilous Drift” Maddow.
But the networks were all more aggressive when the 2,000 mark arrived in Iraq on October 25, 2005. The Big Three networks devoted 14 morning and evening news stories to the death toll from October 24 through the end of October, and another 24 anchor briefs or mentions. They used the number to spell “disaster for this White House.”
I did a quick Google News Search (for the phrase “grim milestone” AND (“afghanistan” OR “iraq”)) by year to determine whether the phrase had gone out of favor about the time President Obama took office.
Here’s what I found:
2004: CNN, CBS News, New York Times, USA Today, the Associated Press
2005: People Magazine, Sacramento Bee, New York Times, Dallas Morning News, Boston Globe, USA Today, New York Daily News, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, BBC
2006: USA Today, CNN, New York Times, CBS News, Fox News, the Associated Press, CNN, NPR
2007: USA Today, msnbc, New York Times, Reuters, CBS News
2008: New York Times, USA Today, Los Angeles Times, Seattle Times, ABC News, msnbc, US News & World Report, CNN, Sacramento Bee
2009: CBS News, New York Times, USA Today, CNN, msnbc
2010: Boston Globe, Time, CNN, ABC News, USA Today, Reuters, Boston Globe, Business Week, Washington Post,
2011: Seattle Times
2012: PBS
The New York Times and USA Today, in particular, appear to have dropped the “grim milestone” phrase from its style guide.
But don’t accuse them of being biased.
http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2012/09/as-us-casualties-mount-in-afghanistan.html
Ghost commented:
mentioned Bongino above, take a good look here
if you’re unaware of him, you’re in for a sweet treat
http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/08/beyond-missouri-dan-bongino-in-maryland-gaining-endorsements-and-momentum/
from the heart and mind- video, (10:00)
http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/07/dan-bongino-the-speech-that-should-launch-him-to-victory/
I dare you to tell me this wasn’t worth your time
folks in Maryland can never again say they never had an opportunity
Sandy commented:
I am so grateful to see that Mitt is leading 317 to 179 in electoral votes. I know Mitt has to be winning big because the Dems are falling apart but then I read that Obama had the greatest Democratic Convention ever. I can’t blame anyone who watches the MSM for believing Obama’s going to pull it out. There are so many lies out there and even if you don’t watch the drivebys you will see or hear something that says despite being tied with Romney and even though in the past this would be bad news for an incumbent — in Obama’s case it means he will win.
Thank you Jim for Gateway. Your blog is the best.
Oliver commented:
what? I just checked Real Clear politics and this is what they are showing:
Sunday, September 09
General Election: Romney vs. Obama Gallup Obama 49, Romney 44 Obama +5
General Election: Romney vs. Obama Rasmussen Reports Obama 49, Romney 45 Obama +4
President Obama Job Approval Gallup Approve 50, Disapprove 44 Approve +6
President Obama Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 52, Disapprove 47 Approve +5
Oliver commented:
More (bad news) from Rasmussen’s website:
A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 52% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s job performance. That’s his highest approval rating in more than a year-and-a-half, since January 2011.
Shadow commented:
“In August, the U.S. surpassed the 2,000 KIA mark in Afghanistan to almost no fanfare. As Dan Riehl observes, much of the U.S. is numb to the heroic sacrifices of our military, primarily because vintage media no longer has a Republican president to hammer.”
Funny that Mitt didn’t think to mention it in his convention speech. I guess he doesn’t see the troops as all that important.
Shadow commented:
Mitt leads Obama 317-179.
Only in fantasyland.
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