It looks like the ‘blue wave’ was all a media-created lie – just like it always is.
Walter Curt, the Ohio State Director for Restoration for America and host of “The Political Theater” posted a tweet on Monday that shows Democrat enthusiasm in Ohio is waning.
According to Curt, the first four days of early voting show Democrat enthusiasm is eroding.
The big blue counties are 49,000 to 65,000 ballots behind where they were at the same point in 2022.
Also, mail requests in the big blue counties are down about 24% this year compared to 2022. This equates to about 104,000 fewer voters!
Curt added: “To merely catch 2022 by the end of next week, the blue counties would need to nearly double their in-person pace, from about 13,500 a day to 25,000 a day, every day, Oct 12 to 16, while the share of those voters who are Democrats keeps shrinking. You don’t flip a red state with a shrinking advantage on shrinking volume. You need a growing advantage on growing volume.”
Here is one chart he provided. Democrats are hurting.
The fake news media, globalists, and RINO Trump-haters hoped to convince Americans to reject Donald Trump and Republicans and take their chances with the America-hating lunatics who want to bring down the system.
It didn’t work.
Here is Walter Curt’s tweet on X.
First four days of Ohio early voting. Here is the data.
I see no Democratic enthusiasm. I see erosion.
Day 1, the Democratic base stormed early in-person voting: D+18 statewide, D+49 across the eight big blue counties. By day 4 it was D+11 statewide and D+41 in those same counties. A six-to-eight point slide in four days, inside the strongholds, with no sign of a floor.
The number of registered Democrats voting in person fell 17% from day 1 to day 4 statewide, and 12% in the blue counties, while total in-person volume held steady in those counties and slipped only 4% statewide.
Who filled the gap?
Unaffiliated voters, up 38% in the blue counties. Republicans didn’t surge. Democrats faded.
But the margin isn’t the real problem. The volume is.
Those eight blue counties are 49,000 to 65,000 ballots behind where they were at the same point in 2022.
They are still 20,000 ballots short of what they had in mail requests alone on the day early voting opened in 2022, before a single in-person vote was cast that year.
Mail requests in those counties are down 24%, about 104,000 fewer. The entire four-day in-person surge, 54,000 votes, fills only half of that hole.
And 2022 was a year Democrats lost everything statewide. They are behind the pace of a losing year.
To merely catch 2022 by the end of next week, the blue counties would need to nearly double their in-person pace, from about 13,500 a day to 25,000 a day, every day, Oct 12 to 16, while the share of those voters who are Democrats keeps shrinking.
You don’t flip a red state with a shrinking advantage on shrinking volume. You need a growing advantage on growing volume.
Right now Ohio Democrats have neither. If turnout is soft on both sides, Republicans win Ohio anyway. That is what Ohio does.
But sure, “blue wave.” The world is ending.
— Walter Curt (@wcdispatch) October 12, 2026
