“Always Correct” Election Predictor Has Donald Trump Defeating Sickly Hillary 51% to 48%
Alan Abramowitz’s “Crystal Ball” model has Trump defeating sickly Hillary Clinton 51% to 48% .
The model gives Trump a 66% chance of winning the election this year.
The Examiner reported:
Republican Donald Trump should win the presidency by a slim margin according to a model that has accurately predicted the popular vote since 1988.
Using several standards to make his prediction, Alan Abramowitz’s “Time for Change” model done for the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics “Crystal Ball” shows Trump winning 51.4 percent to 48.6 percent for Hillary Clinton.
He added that the model shows a 66 percent chance of a Trump victory.
“Based on a predicted vote share of 48.6 percent for the incumbent party, these results indicate that Trump should be a clear but not overwhelming favorite to defeat Clinton: There should be about a 66 percent chance of a Republican victory,” Abramowitz added.
Hillary Clinton took the day off today.
She needs to rest.