REMEMBER– Polls Overestimated Obama's Strength By Average of 7 Percentage Points This Year

As Election Day Draws Near Do Not Forget—
Polls Overestimated Obama’s Strength By Average of 7 Percentage Points This Year

In 18 of 20 states this year polls overestimated Obama’s strength by an average of 7%.

Ace of Spades and The Politico reported this previously:

In theory, exit polls should match election results. But for all the care that goes into conducting accurate exit polls, errant results aren’t completely uncommon. Respected polling analyst Mark Blumenthal found that during the Democratic primaries this year, preliminary exit polls overestimated Obama’s strength in 18 of 20 states, by an average error of 7 percentage points, based on leaked early results.

The reason? Obama’s supporters were younger, better educated and often more enthusiastic than Hillary Clinton’s, meaning they were more likely to participate in exit polls.

Related… Exit polls in 2004 overstated Kerry’s vote in 26 states.

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Jim Hoft is the founder and editor of The Gateway Pundit, one of the top conservative news outlets in America. Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in Media Award in 2013 and is the proud recipient of the Breitbart Award for Excellence in Online Journalism from the Americans for Prosperity Foundation in May 2016. In 2023, The Gateway Pundit received the Most Trusted Print Media Award at the American Liberty Awards.

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