Nate Silver came out swinging with pie in the sky predictions for Democrats having an 87% chance of taking the House.
Live updates on fivethirtyeight.com show Nate Silver is now giving Dems a 54.6% chance of taking the House.
Silver’s predictions are changing by the minute–this is wild!
Nate Silver is walking back his predictions:
“Well, I’m trying to do 6 things at once — we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts,” Nate Silver said.
Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once — we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 7, 2018
Just like on election night in 2016, Nate Silver’s numbers are all over the place.
The numbers are changing rapidly so please refresh page for updates.
