Guest post by Joe Hoft
Featured image via Grrr Graphics.
We reported last week that early ballots show a huge increase in voting in favor of Republicans. Two days ago this was still the case. Today it is still the case as well!
On June 23, 2018, we reported that the 2018 Mid-terms would be a referendum on government corruption and because of this President Trump and the Republicans would win big.
This was before Democrats made up trumped up charges against a good man – Supreme Court Judge Brett Kavanaugh. After the Kavanaugh hearings, where Judge Kavanaugh was wrongfully accused by the Democrats of being a gang rapist, the tide changed. We made our prediction on the election and we stated that a huge red wave was coming.
Our mid-term prediction on October 2nd was that the Republicans would win big in the Senate and would keep the House.
Early voting continues to indicate that the tide is turning red! Democrats are voting less than in 2016 which is expected. The bigger news is that Republicans are ahead of their 2016 early ballot pace!
In a series of tweets Larry Schweikart showed last week that early returns are shockingly strong for Republicans. Larry explained that he examines ballot requests and ballot returns by party. In 2016 party ID was the single best predictor of a vote according to Pew [Research] and party switchers in 2016 were 2 to 1 in favor of Democrats voting Republican:
6) I examine ballot REQUESTS and ballot RETURNS BY PARTY. (In 2016, party ID was the single best predictor of a vote according to Pew—very, very few party switchers, but those that were, by 2:1, went from Dem to Republican.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 18, 2018
So Larry compared last week’s numbers to 2016. In four states where there are already a large number of ballot requests (Arizona, Florida, Ohio and Iowa) Republicans were exceeding 2016 numbers –
8) contd . . . from 2016, a Presidential Election. This is not supposed to happen.
9) Moreover, with the help of Freepers “Ravi” and “SpeedyInTexas” and “Ohio Wan” and “The Accountant” and others, I have found that DemoKKKrats are falling behind their 2016 performance
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 18, 2018
Last week Democrats were behind 2016 Presidential year numbers, as might be expected, but Republicans were ahead of their 2016 turnout – this is not supposed to happen –
10) One would not be surprised that Ds are lagging behind 2016, a presidential election year. But it IS surprising that Rs are not only running ahead of 2014 (a midterm) but also 2016.
11) Just in case there was some weird state-wide tilt to these numbers, we also . . . .
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 18, 2018
A couple days ago Schweitkart reported that results show that country wide Republicans are way ahead of 2016 –
FL:
10/23/2016 combined early and absentee votes:
Rs lead 6,975 ​
10/23/18:
R lead 53,745Rs outperforming 2016 by 47k . . . and red Panhandle voting down 2/3 from 2016 so far. It WILL come in, or most of it, on election day.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 23, 2018
Schweikart continues to see the numbers in the mid-terms going red. Not even the recent bomb hoax has dampened Republican resolve –
Hmm. Not one single indicator of any “Republican enthusiasm” being dampened by the #hoaxbombs
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 25, 2018
Others are reporting significant results to date in favor of a Republican Red Wave –
THIS IS MASSIVE! https://t.co/wOWeyDrsCz
— Bill Mitchell (@mitchellvii) October 25, 2018
Far left MSNBC is even reluctantly reporting the results to date in the election –
Less than two weeks out from Election Day, more than 8 million people nationwide have voted early in the 2018 midterms.
Republicans are outpacing Democrats nationally, a change compared to two weeks out from Election Day in 2016. Read more: https://t.co/WUzrhR42Yv pic.twitter.com/BkDspg7Ar5
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 25, 2018
Time will tell tell but it is beginning to look like a giant red wave is coming in November.
Featured image via Tina Toons
