UPDATE: NY TIMES PREDICTION: TRUMP ‘VERY LIKELY’ TO WIN PRESIDENCY, SURGES TO 95% CHANCE
The New York Times presidential predictor page is showing Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump with a 95 percent chance of winning the presidency as of 10:00 p.m. CST., moving Trump to the position of “Very Likely” to win.
The Times program constantly updates its predictions. The screen grab below was taken when Trump was at 55 percent. Trump is forecast to win a little over the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the presidency.
Trump’s chance to win started increasing shortly after 8 p.m. CST. Trump crossed the 50 percent threshold before 8:30. moving up to 59 percent around 8:45 and 64 percent at 9 p.m. As of 9:18 p.m. Trump was surging to 80 percent. Trump’s momentum continued to tick upward through 9:30 p.m. to 87 percent., crossing over 90 percent around 9:40 p.m. and hitting 95 percent at 10:00 p.m.
A while ago on the Fox News Channel, Chris Wallace said that for the first time he was thinking Trump could be the next president of the United States.
CNN’s Jake Tapper mused on air recently that perhaps the pollsters missed a Trump surge with their modeling of voter patterns.