WISCONSIN: Trump Closing in on Clinton as Likely Voter Lead Collapses From 15 Points to Margin of Error Tie
The state of Wisconsin is looking to be in play as Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has closed from a fifteen point deficit among likely voters in his race with Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton to a three point gap–within the poll’s margin of error. Trump has recaptured support lost earlier in the month of August following the July political conventions.
The results from the poll conducted by Marquette University Law School were reported by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
The presidential race and U.S. Senate contest have tightened in Wisconsin, according to Thursday’s Marquette University Law School Poll.
In the race for the White House, Democrat Hillary Clinton led Republican Donald Trump by 42% to 37% among registered voters. Clinton also led Trump, 45% to 42% among voters who said they are certain to go to the polls in the fall.
…Three weeks ago, Clinton held a 10-point lead over Trump among registered voters and a 15-point lead among likely voters.
Essentially, the presidential race is close to where it was before the two parties held their national conventions, Franklin said.
In July, Clinton led Trump by 6 points among registered voters and 4 points among likely voters.
In a four-way presidential race, Clinton has 37% , Trump 32% , Libertarian Gary Johnson 11% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 7% among registered voters. Among likely voters, Clinton is at 41% , Trump at 38% , Johnson at 10% and Stein at 4% .
…The survey of 803 registered voters — and 650 likely voters — was conducted Thursday through Sunday by landline and cellphone. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 5.0% for likely voters.
Including independents who lean to a party, 45% identified as Republicans and 46% as Democrats.
“Leaners are tilting a little more Republican in this sample,” Franklin said.
The Journal Sentinel also reported on Marquette’s poll of the U.S. Senate rematch between Democrat Russ Feingold and the man who unseated him Republican Ron Johnson showing Feingold’s lead also within the margin of error.
Trump campaigned in Milwaukee and West Bend, Wisconsin two weeks ago where he made a ‘law and order’ speech just days after rioting over the fatal police shooting of armed Black criminal Sylville Smith.
It was only yesterday that Hot Air personality Allahpundit opined that Wisconsin looked “out of reach” for Trump.
The two states with the most Trump field offices are Wisconsin and Virginia, both of which look out of reach https://t.co/gvRwsxAHkg
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) August 30, 2016
“The two states with the most Trump field offices are Wisconsin and Virginia, both of which look out of reach”