DONALD TRUMP Could Lose 8 of 10 Remaining Primaries and Still Reach 1,237 Delegates on June 7th

Guest post by Joe Hoft

After sweeping all five primaries on Tuesday – Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania – Donald Trump now has 994 delegates.

Ted Cruz now has 566 delegates and was mathematically eliminated on Tuesday night.

Delegate Count 4-29 AP

Cruz currently has 566 delegates and there are only 572 delegates remaining. Cruz needs 671 delegates to win the nomination and therefore he is now mathematically eliminated from the race.

Based on current delegate counts Trump could win all the delegates in the elections between now and June 7th and will still not have quite enough to win the nomination before June 7.

However, Trump has a tremendous amount of momentum and will likely win most of the upcoming delegates.

It’s clear that Trump will win the nomination outright on June 7th.

 Delegate Count 4-29 Trump wins June 7th

Trump could lose 8 of the 10 remaining states (Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota) and still win the nomination outright with wins in New Jersey and California and good showings in the states that award delegates proportionally.

Delegate Count 4-29 Trump wins w 1237 ca and nj only

It is very clear that Trump will win the nomination on June 7th with more than 1,237 delegates even if Cruz wins several states before the June primaries.

And currently Cruz is trailing by double digits in Oregon, California, New Jersey; by 6 points in Indiana; with no polling data available on the remaining state primaries.

As previously noted–

** Trump leads all Republican candidates with 994 delegates and has more delegates than all the other Republican candidates combined.

** Trump now leads all Republican and Democratic candidates with 23 primary wins (Cruz has 4 while Hillary has 21).

** Trump leads all candidates in states won – 26 – now more than half of the US.

** Trump needs only 42% of the remaining outstanding delegates to win the nomination

We also predict that Carly Fiorina will serve as the shortest termed Vice Presidential candidate in US history. But it is highly unlikely Cruz will resign from the campaign, even after an Indiana loss, until June 7th when Trump tops 1,237 delegates.

 

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