Back in 1980 Gallup had Jimmy Carter up over Ronald Reagan by 4 points in mid to late September… And, Carter was up 8 points in October. In fact there was a published Gallup poll showing Carter up six among likely voters in a poll conducted Oct. 24 to 27.
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Ronald Reagan ended up winning by 9 points and taking 44 states.
More… (Via Drudge) Flashback: Dukakis Led Bush By 17 Points After 1988 DNC