Dick Morris: If Election Were Today, Romney Would Win in Landslide

In his latest column, author and political strategist Dick Morris writes that Mitt Romney would win in a landslide if the election were held today.
Dick made the same prediction last month.

Real Clear Politics reported:

If the election were held today, Mitt Romney would win by a landslide.

The published polls reflect a close race for two reasons:

1. They poll only registered voters, not likely voters. Rasmussen is the only pollster who tests likely voters, and his latest tracking poll has Romney ahead by 48-43.2. As discussed in previous columns, a study of the undecided voters in the past eight elections in which incumbents sought a second term as president reveals that only Bush-43 gained any of the undecided vote. Johnson in ’64, Nixon in ’72, Ford in ’76, Carter in ’80, Reagan in ’84, Bush in ’92 and Clinton in ’96 all failed to pick up a single undecided vote.

So when polls show President Obama at 45 percent of the vote, they are really reflecting a likely 55-45 Romney victory, at the very least.

Gallup has amassed over 150,000 interviews over all of 2011 and compared them with a like number in 2010. It finds that Obama has a better than 50 percent job approval in only 10 states and the District of Columbia. And his approval has dropped in almost every single state. Even in California, it has fallen from 55 percent in 2010 to 
50.5 percent in 2011.

Over the period of May 4-6, I completed a poll of 400 likely voters in Michigan and found Romney leading by 45-43! And Michigan is one of the most pro-Democrat of the swing states.

Get news like this in your Facebook News Feed,
Gateway Pundit

Facebook Comments

Disqus Comments

  • Remco Kimber

    Certainly I like to hear what Morris believes on this score. And O’s “optics’ aren’t likely to improve over the near term. So Mittens has a real shot at this provided he continues to pound, pound, pound the economic plight of millions who suffer while government employees continue to live wonderful, uneffected lives.

    The GOP should continue using O’s quotes over and over. Like M.Ali this guy can’t keep his mouth shut. He has uttered so many contradictory things over the years. A target-rich environment.

  • OldSailor

    Unfortunately the election isn’t “today,” but 6 months from now … an eternity in politics where anything can happen. The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick. They may well find something.

    Let’s keep Obama’s reefer smoking, cocaine snorting, alcohol blurred school years in mind.

  • Rachelle

    Morris has been more fact oriented than most so his analyses tend to be excellent.

    I truly hope he is right.

    It was good to hear that Bill Clinton has criticized The Zero as being incompetent. Maybe it’s time for the few remaining sane Dems to start writing in the federal prisoner as their choice to lead the party. Even the Dems are getting sick of this guy.

  • Gary

    Yeah, Morris was a Clintonista back in the day, so he’s their worst nightmare.
    He knows all the secrets and all the tricks. I’m surprised he hasn’t met with an accident.

    I agree with him about the election, but I think it’l be a little closer than 55-45. Still, anything over 6 points difference is getting into landslide territory in a two-party race.

  • George

    Yeah. This is the same guy that predicted the Republicans would win back the Senate in 2010.
    NOT! Obummer raised $15 million in one day from Hollywood leftist. His approval is over 60% among 18-29 year olds. Every black person will vote for him again, and more will be registered this time around. He leads Romney among Hispanics by a 70% margin. I’m starting to feel s***y
    about the election again.

  • http://www.alottatalk.com GregInSeattle

    It’s early yet… but I sure hope he’s right!

  • http://www.alottatalk.com GregInSeattle

    Points taken, George, but how motivated will those groups be to turn out? Blacks and Hispanics aren’t so excited about gay marriage for instance.

  • Pingback: Dick Morris: If Election Were Today, Romney Would Win in Landslide|PolitifreakPolitifreak()

  • John Kofi Moore

    Romney and Republicans will win to thwart jihads,terrorists,dictators who are always on the acendancy in a Democtrats government.This is the democratic minded citizenry opinion in all third world countries

  • Blacque Jacques Shellacque

    The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick. They may well find something.

    The problem with this approach is that the constant crap-flinging tends to turn people off. If they can’t find something substantial soon, the only damage that’s going to be inflicted will be on their own party (as if the brand hasn’t been ravaged enough by the incompetence of the head a-hole in the White House).

  • Highlander

    We need to make this a reality. I want history to read unequivocally that, in the year 2012, the American people soundly and irrevocably rejected Barack Obama and everything he represented. I want it to be such a trouncing that his media toadies are unable to represent it any other way.

  • Pingback: Dick Morris: If Election Were Today, Romney Would Win in Landslide | Born Conservative()

  • FurryGuy

    #2 May 11, 2012 at 11:21 am
    OldSailor commented:

    The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick.

    And all that has happened is a much larger quantity gets blown back: Doggygate and Bullygate come to mind. All the effort to keep Barry’s past unknown and unknowable is getting obliterated by the mudslinging.

    O’s greatest strength in 2008 was his tabula rasa political record, voters could pour all their expectations into the empty suit. Now he has a record, and keeps on staking out positions that show just how far Left he really is. The mudslinging is a weak effort to deflect from Barry’s abysmal record, and it is working only to highlight his hypocritical and purely partisan political positions.

  • sandy

    I love to listen to Dick Morris because he’s so positive. With Obama its all smoke and mirrors to cover up for the sad reality of what he has done to this nation. My only fear is that the Middle East will erupt and Romney will not be able to criticize The Commander in Thief.

  • jb books

    #11 Highlander

    Well stated.

  • Han Solo

    Sorry to break the news but Mittens isn’t the nominee yet.

  • Sasja

    Gary, whatever Morris knows I am sure is well-documented and safely tucked away. Not only is he politically savvy, he is also no fool.

  • sandy

    Perhaps because Obama has the media on his side stories like his high school drug addiction don’t see the light of day. However, we have Rush, Hannity and Levin and the blogs such as Gateway and Drudge on our side. Rush’s ratings are going through the roof with voters who are desperate to hear from the other side. The big mo is definitely with us. Obama said he was going to part the seas and he has only succeeded in driving us apart. Are any of us better off than we were 4 years ago?

    Where Obama offered Hope and Change in 08 he can now only offer 20 years of misery before we see any improvement. Dick Morris is right and barring any circumstance beyond our control Romney will win big. God Willing….

  • Blacque Jacques Shellacque

    Sorry to break the news but Mittens isn’t the nominee yet.

    The only way he won’t be the nominee is if the planet suffers a Yucatan-sized asteroid collision sometime between now and the end of August.

    This is not to be taken as any kind of endorsement.

  • wtd

    #11 “Let 2012 the year the American people soundly and irrevocably rejecteded Barack Obama and everything he represented.”

    From your mouth (er, keyboard) to G-d’s ears!