Dick Morris: If Election Were Today, Romney Would Win in Landslide

In his latest column, author and political strategist Dick Morris writes that Mitt Romney would win in a landslide if the election were held today.
Dick made the same prediction last month.

Real Clear Politics reported:

If the election were held today, Mitt Romney would win by a landslide.

The published polls reflect a close race for two reasons:

1. They poll only registered voters, not likely voters. Rasmussen is the only pollster who tests likely voters, and his latest tracking poll has Romney ahead by 48-43.2. As discussed in previous columns, a study of the undecided voters in the past eight elections in which incumbents sought a second term as president reveals that only Bush-43 gained any of the undecided vote. Johnson in ’64, Nixon in ’72, Ford in ’76, Carter in ’80, Reagan in ’84, Bush in ’92 and Clinton in ’96 all failed to pick up a single undecided vote.

So when polls show President Obama at 45 percent of the vote, they are really reflecting a likely 55-45 Romney victory, at the very least.

Gallup has amassed over 150,000 interviews over all of 2011 and compared them with a like number in 2010. It finds that Obama has a better than 50 percent job approval in only 10 states and the District of Columbia. And his approval has dropped in almost every single state. Even in California, it has fallen from 55 percent in 2010 to 
50.5 percent in 2011.

Over the period of May 4-6, I completed a poll of 400 likely voters in Michigan and found Romney leading by 45-43! And Michigan is one of the most pro-Democrat of the swing states.

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  • Remco Kimber

    Certainly I like to hear what Morris believes on this score. And O’s “optics’ aren’t likely to improve over the near term. So Mittens has a real shot at this provided he continues to pound, pound, pound the economic plight of millions who suffer while government employees continue to live wonderful, uneffected lives.

    The GOP should continue using O’s quotes over and over. Like M.Ali this guy can’t keep his mouth shut. He has uttered so many contradictory things over the years. A target-rich environment.

  • OldSailor

    Unfortunately the election isn’t “today,” but 6 months from now … an eternity in politics where anything can happen. The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick. They may well find something.

    Let’s keep Obama’s reefer smoking, cocaine snorting, alcohol blurred school years in mind.

  • Rachelle

    Morris has been more fact oriented than most so his analyses tend to be excellent.

    I truly hope he is right.

    It was good to hear that Bill Clinton has criticized The Zero as being incompetent. Maybe it’s time for the few remaining sane Dems to start writing in the federal prisoner as their choice to lead the party. Even the Dems are getting sick of this guy.

  • Gary

    Yeah, Morris was a Clintonista back in the day, so he’s their worst nightmare.
    He knows all the secrets and all the tricks. I’m surprised he hasn’t met with an accident.

    I agree with him about the election, but I think it’l be a little closer than 55-45. Still, anything over 6 points difference is getting into landslide territory in a two-party race.

  • George

    Yeah. This is the same guy that predicted the Republicans would win back the Senate in 2010.
    NOT! Obummer raised $15 million in one day from Hollywood leftist. His approval is over 60% among 18-29 year olds. Every black person will vote for him again, and more will be registered this time around. He leads Romney among Hispanics by a 70% margin. I’m starting to feel s***y
    about the election again.

  • It’s early yet… but I sure hope he’s right!

  • Points taken, George, but how motivated will those groups be to turn out? Blacks and Hispanics aren’t so excited about gay marriage for instance.

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  • John Kofi Moore

    Romney and Republicans will win to thwart jihads,terrorists,dictators who are always on the acendancy in a Democtrats government.This is the democratic minded citizenry opinion in all third world countries

  • Blacque Jacques Shellacque

    The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick. They may well find something.

    The problem with this approach is that the constant crap-flinging tends to turn people off. If they can’t find something substantial soon, the only damage that’s going to be inflicted will be on their own party (as if the brand hasn’t been ravaged enough by the incompetence of the head a-hole in the White House).

  • Highlander

    We need to make this a reality. I want history to read unequivocally that, in the year 2012, the American people soundly and irrevocably rejected Barack Obama and everything he represented. I want it to be such a trouncing that his media toadies are unable to represent it any other way.

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  • FurryGuy

    #2 May 11, 2012 at 11:21 am
    OldSailor commented:

    The Dems keep throwing excrement at Romney hoping that something will stick.

    And all that has happened is a much larger quantity gets blown back: Doggygate and Bullygate come to mind. All the effort to keep Barry’s past unknown and unknowable is getting obliterated by the mudslinging.

    O’s greatest strength in 2008 was his tabula rasa political record, voters could pour all their expectations into the empty suit. Now he has a record, and keeps on staking out positions that show just how far Left he really is. The mudslinging is a weak effort to deflect from Barry’s abysmal record, and it is working only to highlight his hypocritical and purely partisan political positions.

  • sandy

    I love to listen to Dick Morris because he’s so positive. With Obama its all smoke and mirrors to cover up for the sad reality of what he has done to this nation. My only fear is that the Middle East will erupt and Romney will not be able to criticize The Commander in Thief.

  • jb books

    #11 Highlander

    Well stated.

  • Han Solo

    Sorry to break the news but Mittens isn’t the nominee yet.

  • Sasja

    Gary, whatever Morris knows I am sure is well-documented and safely tucked away. Not only is he politically savvy, he is also no fool.

  • sandy

    Perhaps because Obama has the media on his side stories like his high school drug addiction don’t see the light of day. However, we have Rush, Hannity and Levin and the blogs such as Gateway and Drudge on our side. Rush’s ratings are going through the roof with voters who are desperate to hear from the other side. The big mo is definitely with us. Obama said he was going to part the seas and he has only succeeded in driving us apart. Are any of us better off than we were 4 years ago?

    Where Obama offered Hope and Change in 08 he can now only offer 20 years of misery before we see any improvement. Dick Morris is right and barring any circumstance beyond our control Romney will win big. God Willing….

  • Blacque Jacques Shellacque

    Sorry to break the news but Mittens isn’t the nominee yet.

    The only way he won’t be the nominee is if the planet suffers a Yucatan-sized asteroid collision sometime between now and the end of August.

    This is not to be taken as any kind of endorsement.

  • wtd

    #11 “Let 2012 the year the American people soundly and irrevocably rejecteded Barack Obama and everything he represented.”

    From your mouth (er, keyboard) to G-d’s ears!

  • burt

    Unfortunately, you a dealing will a man with NO morals. Nothing is beyond him!

  • Eh2Zed

    *I posted this in another article but just as relevant here*
    I will make a prediction for you. This is going to be the biggest drubbing to a sitting president in the history of the US. I expect the final numbers will be 60 – 40 for Romney. Every indicator shows the economy getting worse over the next 6 months. Every poll ever done in a bad economy shows that the vast majority of people decide in the booth for their wallet, not their Ideology. Only the die hard will stick with ideology, the rest will go for the money in their wallet. This means most independents will go for Romney, and since Liberals only make up 20% of the population, and the other 20% comes from the absolute democrat party fanatics, the people who will NEVER vote for a Republican no matter what. This election night will be the greatest soap opera in the history of television. This will be the first time in 7 years I will actually watch MSNBC, CNN, and HNC. The crying and abject disillusionment in their beliefs will be priceless. May have to buy a new dvr to record all the channels. Maybe, this time, instead of Skeletor (Carvel) putting a trash can over his head in 2004 when Bush won, (or was it Baglicker (Begalla), meh, same BS, different pile), he will actually self immolate or hang himself on live TV. Good times to be had by all.

  • How Low Can You Go?

    Obama has done it. He has trashed the Presidency. Step aside Nixon and Clinton. You have met your match. Obama did something yesterday that cast excrement on the seal of the US Presidency. We now have a president that has told America that marriage is what you say it is. Sodomites can, he says, get married.

    Yes, Jack Kennedy had a thousand mistresses and he even loaned one or more of them out to others, but this beats all.

    We now see that in this presidency we are up against evil itself.

    Obama is pro-choice. The only thing that was left for him to do in order to lower the bar to where it cannot go further down was to come out in defense of the weird and the indefensible. He has not disappointed his enemies who saw this coming or that gaggle of claques in the Congressional Progressive Caucus that in keeping with the media applaud his every move.

    Who is this man of slender intellect that after growing up outside of America can come here and tell the sons of Catholics Jews Muslims and Puritans that he has the right to re-define marriage, even if that definition flies in the face of everything Americans have ever believed?

    Mr. Obama is a Democrat. He is a member of the one political party that more than their rival Republicans nominates presidents that famously cheat on the wives. But even they—the LBJ’s FDR’s Woodrow Wilsons and Clintons– have never aroused so much disgust as this one slippery little man– this Philistine purveyor of the ludicrous and the irrational.

    Science and religion cannot help us here. The President has gone over the edge. Not since Mary Todd Lincoln held séances in the White House has America had to deal with irrationality on such a level.

    What was America doing when college professors were seducing young minds all across the country so that they would turn out in droves to vote for this priest of Baal who adds to his Socialism same sex marriage.

    What is the Black Jewish and Hispanic community thinking? They say they will return Obama to the White House this November. Have they gone mad like the President?

    Steve Cakouros

  • pjean

    Any poll coming directly out of DC must be ignored as an outlier. They are so biased and if you notice, DC in most polls runs totally opposite from the average responses from the rest of the country, regardless of the political question being asked.

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  • Dwight K Schrute

    Is Han Solo holding out hope for Ron or Newt? What the Hell?

  • Democrat Renegade

    I do not understand the gloom of some who think Obama will win reelection. He won’t, and don’t you forget it!

  • RKflorida

    Oy! Bad news as this guy is never right. If he said Romney has no chance, I would feel much better about Romney winning.

  • arabella

    I wish it were so, but Dick Morris is largely a BS artist. It’s a tie race in mile 10 of a 26.2 mile marathon. 16.2 long miles to go.

    I was enthused about Condi Rice for 2008 and bought Dick’s book “Condi vs. Hillary.” What a load of hooey and a waste of $29.95 or whatever it was.

  • I love how Mitt changes statistics and rewrites history to fool the rubes. If he wins in November and enacts the Ryan budget, expect a massive and deep recession by 2014 with unemployment reaching the heights that Spain and Greece currentlty suffer. Austerity is not working in Europe and won’t work here. The GOP doesn’t care about the American market now that we’re on a global buying stage as there are millions of customers overseas will supply the 1 percent corporate Americans with their cutomer base. Mitt will manage the decay and decline of America very well according to Newt (one of the things he was most spot on about).