Gallup Polling Predicts GOP Tsunami Ahead
Posted by Jim Hoft on Saturday, October 9, 2010, 10:22 AM
Obama’s trillion dollar stimulus package failed.
Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi tripled the national deficit last year by nearly a trillion dollars – something unheard of in our nation’s history.
After an unheard of record deficit of $1.4 Trillion in 2009 the Obama regime followed up this year with a $1.3 Trillion deficit.
The Obama-Pelosi regime will make Americans pay for their failed policies.
In return, it looks like Americans are about to make them pay at the polls.
Forget about a wave, Gallup shows a GOP tsunami in November.
Gallup reported:
Gallup’s recent modeling of the vote for Congress finds 54% of likely voters identifying themselves as politically conservative, while moderates are in conspicuously short supply compared with recent midterms. Also, Republicans make up a larger share of the electorate in Gallup’s initial 2010 likely voter pool — greater than their 1994 share — than do Democrats, and the gap is even more pronounced once the leanings of independents are taken into account.
Gallup’s initial likely voter models for the 2010 congressional midterm elections, based on polling conducted between Sept. 23 and Oct. 3, include one projection based on a lower, more typical voter turnout scenario (assuming that approximately 40% of eligible Americans will vote) and a second based on a higher voter turnout scenario (assuming that more than 50% will vote). It is important to note that the historical comparisons of likely voters reported here are based on the 40% turnout assumption for this year — which could still change between now and Nov. 2 — and the final pre-election polls conducted in the four prior midterm election years.
The composition of likely voters appears to have become more politically polarized, with the proportions of conservatives and liberals expanding since 1994 at moderates’ expense. However, Gallup’s initial 2010 estimate of likely voters shows a particularly sharp jump in the percentage of conservatives, from 42% in 2006 to 54% today, and a decline in the percentage of moderates, from 37% to 27%.
This ideological change is accompanied by a concomitant shift toward Republicans, who have a nine-percentage-point advantage over Democrats in the likely voter pool: 39% vs. 30% at this point, one month before the elections. This exceeds the GOP’s five- and six-point advantages in Gallup’s final pre-election polls in 1994 and 2002
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Published May 24, 2012 at 8:46 pm - 91 Comments
big L commented:
polls are for suckers. The votes have never been closer since all thefocus on Pollign Also add the voting machines too-new for the west and created only to provide an instant grat story for the Press. And we know what side they are on.
In Calif we have thse “Play-skool” like devices.
they are so much b.s.
And the absentees are only sampled. If it is close election then the absentees are counted. No one is busting their hump viz elections.
Those two positions we have go to get a hold of- REgistrar of Voters in each county or district,and the Secretary of State’s office.Forget the other state offices.
forget the polls, get to work.
Chippy commented:
The American people understand, “Hope and Change” means communism. It also means a permanent underclass of poor people that depends on large government growth. That growth equals less individual freedom for every American. This “government growth” also means the destruction of the middle class because it is they who must pay for the ridiculous and inhumane tax increases that supports the underclass.
backhoe commented:
Don’t get cocky,
Kid…
Conservative Ken commented:
I do believe the poll numbers cited by Gallop. However, I wonder how much real impact they will have in reality.
It’s vote fraud, population concentration, and districting that worry me. For generations, every possible measure has been taken to insure Democrat reelection. Democratic voters are herded into small areas then redistricting occurs so that the liberal candidate can get more bang for the buck.
gus commented:
Which of these groups do DEMOTARDS expect to vote for them.
a)Dead beats
b)losers
c)minorities
d)gays
e)Gore-ite eco-nuts
f)Felons
g)illegal aliens
h)unions
i)naive students
j)govt workers
Yes.,
Granny commented:
No counting of the chickens before the eggs are laid!!!
jorgen commented:
Gallup does not include dead voters. Real elections apparently do – and for some unexplainable reason: they *all* vote .Democrat.
Valerie commented:
#3 and #5 have it.
I’m looking to my friends, and allies, many of whom think they are more Liberal than me. They can make all the difference in November.
One thing that MUST happen is that the Tea Parties have to continue to insist on describing themselves, and take away the power of their enemies to misdescribe them. There is a lot of work to be done.
That meme, that the Tea Parties are made up of white bitter-clingers, racists, and Islamophobes, is being pumped out by all the usual suspects, including Time, NPR, The Washington Post (Sally Quinn, you awful liar, are you listening?), the New York Times and the White House.
I’m doing the soft sell. I’m asking my friends to listen closely, and let the Tea Parties define themselves. I have been passing around links to people like Bill Whittle and Alfonso Rachel, and telling them that these are people the Tea Partiers have taken to their hearts.
Who you love says a lot about who you are.
Our argument with the current Democratic Party Powers-that-be is not about our shared ideals, but the way their public policy is subverting our shared ideals. I am a Democrat who is deeply offended that the current Democratic majority has enacted legislation that is having, and will continue to have, perverse results.
The current Democratic Party has acted in ways that impede individual liberty, restrict the ability for people to provide for their families, burden our children with debt, and drain both opportunity and vigor from our economy.
These dangers were predictable, and the warnings were made, but these jokers decided they did not have to follow their constituents’ advice or the advice of their colleagues from the other party, and they rightly should be thrown out of office.
Kemo Sabe commented:
Well, we need a tsunami to overcome media bias, voter fraud, foreign campaign contributions to democrats, indoctrination of voting age students, etc.
Even with all these things going for democrats they still barely win elections. Why? The truth is too powerful to overcome. They don’t have the truth on their side!!!
That’s why communists say power comes from the barrel of a gun. Or as Cass Sunstein says “nudge” us through heavy handed government regulation and taxation until the federal government is able to consolidate power and then they will use guns.
We cannot let them acquire this power.
Rock commented:
May be true only if Democraps have no control over the voting and or ballot counting. Regardless, get out and vote, this cannot be close, it must be a tsunami, anything less will allow the results to be compromised. There is ample proof that Obama’s Justice Department will not support the people, and in fact may well try to provide cover for those who seek to manage the outcome.
Chisum commented:
Christmas is coming early this year!
Cook moves Grayson’s district to Leans Republican
It’s also important to note that Charlie Cook doesn’t usually move races with incumbents to leaning the other direction unless he sees pretty clear evidence that the challenger has built a formidable lead. In the Cook analyses, Toss-Up is usually the bottom for an incumbent running for re-election. If he’s tilting this race to Webster, Cook must see something powerful coming in FL-08.
http://hotair.com/archives/2010/10/09/cook-moves-graysons-district-to-leans-republican/
RickZ commented:
Mongol General: What is best in life?
Conan: To crush your enemies, to see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women.
—
No mercy for any Demonrat! (RINOs next, then the media. But first things first.)
Valerie commented:
…..And here’s one reason why, from California’s San Francisco Chronicle
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/10/07/BAOF1FDMRV.DTL#ixzz11iqEfuN9
“Overestimate fueled state’s landmark diesel law”
“California grossly miscalculated pollution levels in a scientific analysis used to toughen the state’s clean-air standards, and scientists have spent the past several months revising data and planning a significant weakening of the landmark regulation, The Chronicle has found.”
**************
I have been waiting for something like this, ever since I read that San Diego allegedly has poor air quality due to automobile exhaust. I know better, because I lived directly downwind from one of San Diego’s busiest inland freeways for a year. The air quality was wonderful the entire time.
This is probably due to good fortune, not any human virtue, because the winds from either the ocean or the desert blow every day and disperse the fumes.
Nevertheless, whoever said that San Diego has poor air quality, lied.
A lie supporting an allegedly good cause is still a lie.
The clear implication is that somebody demanded a lie to support legislation, and got it. The legislators can and should be held responsible for this. They should not rely on confirmed non-math majors for their environmental calculations.
Mark1957 commented:
Volunteer for your candidate today, go door to door, work the phones, ect. We must defeat the progessives by at least 5% or more or they will steal any close race. The time to rejoice will be on Nov.3rd, until then we must all work to save this nation.
Paulajay commented:
My hope is that the Republicans will take over the House and Senate in such great numbers that they’ll have a veto-proof majority. They can UNDO the damage of the last 2 years and if Obama tries to get around them with his Czars, it will be time to IMPEACH. I can dream, can’t I???
Elmo commented:
A perfect storm (how’s ya likes me now George Clooney … huh?). It is in their DNA, like moths to a flame. Dancing around, flittering about … unable to keep from being consumed in their own lunacy, derangement, filth, and lies.
The walls WILL come tumblin’ down. Believe.
(Accapella/mass choir, Joshua Fit the Battle)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5UuMgVVR8x0
Ed commented:
it’s not a tsunami unless conservatives gain a 2/3 majority of both houses in Congress. other than that, there’s little that can be done to reverse what Obama and the democrats have passed so far.
A 2/3 majority is needed in order to make Obama and the democrats a non-entity in the country’s future!
David Thompson commented:
Dear President Obama,
.
I read of your administrations plan to re-define September 11th as a National Service Day. Sir, as a United States Veteran, I think it’s time we had a talk.
.
During your campaign, Americans watched as you made mockery of our tradition of standing and crossing your heart when the Pledge of Allegiance was spoken. You, out of four people on the stage, were the only one not honoring our tradition. We noticed.
.
During one of your many speeches, Americans heard you say that you intended to visit all 57 states. We noticed.
.
And when Mrs. Obama said at your Inauguration that “this is FIRST time in my life that I’m proud to be an American,” a slap in the face to all veterans and patriots of this great nation, we noticed.
.
When you stated that you “did NOT care to get into a séance with Nancy Regan,” we noticed.
.
When Senator McCain leaned over at Ground Zero and gently placed a flower on the memorial, you tossed your flower onto the pile without leaning over. We noticed.
.
Every time you apologized to other countries for America’s position on an issue, we have wondered why you don’t share our pride in this great country. When you have heard foreign leaders berate our country and our beliefs, you have not defended us. We noticed.
.
When your pastor of 20 years damned America and said that 9/11 was “America’s chickens coming home to roost” and you denied having heard recriminations of that nature, we wondered how that could be. When you later disassociated yourself from that church and pastor because it was politically expedient to do so, we noticed.
.
When you announced that you would transform America, we wondered why.
With all her faults, America is the greatest country on earth. Sir, if not for America and the people who built her, you wouldn’t be sitting in the White House now. Prior to your election to the highest office in this country, you were a senator from Illinois and from what we can glean from the records available, not a remarkable one. We noticed.
.
All through your campaign and even now, you have surrounded yourself with individuals who are basically unqualified for the positions to which you appointed them. Worse than that, the majority of them are people who, like you, bear no special affection or respect for this country and her traditions. We noticed.
.
You are twenty months into your term and every morning millions of Americans wake up to a new horror heaped on us by you. You seek to saddle working Americans with a health care/insurance reform package that, along with cap and trade, will bankrupt this nation. We noticed.
.
We seek, by protesting, to let our representatives know that we are not in favor of these crippling expenditures and we are labeled “un-American,” and “racist.” We wonder how we are supposed to let you know how frustrated we are. You have attempted to make our protests seem isolated. We noticed.
.
On September 11, 2001 there were no Republicans or Democrats, only Americans. And we all grieved together and helped each other in whatever way we could. The attack on 9/11 was carried out because we are Americans. And we noticed.
.
There were many of us who prayed that as a black president you could help unite this nation even more. In twenty months you have done more to destroy this nation than anyone since 9/11. You have failed us. We noticed.
.
When Americans come together again, it will be to remove you from office. You have made a mockery of our Constitution and the office that you hold. You have embarrassed and slighted us in foreign visits and policy.
.
We have noticed all these things. We will deal with you.
.
To those who agree with me, please feel free to copy this and post it any and every place you choose.
aprilnovember811 commented:
If we have a snow storm on that day that dumps 30 inches, I’ll walk.
forex trading commented:
Since 2006 when Democrats took control of congress, things started going soar. Many Americans did not noticed this. Watching from outside, it really was amazing how Obama deceived Americans. How could you have tolerated such blatant lies. Anyway, democrats who experienced what really happened to your democracy and who love their country are speaking out. You see this and decide for yourself if president Barack Obama really deserve to serve the American people. You be the judge. Obama is a fraud.
http://www.wewillnotbesilenced2008.com/
billy sol commented:
VOTE! I plan to dedicate my ballot in November to Sally Quinn! I find her to be ignorant, and poorly informed about the determination that our votes will represent!
Rock commented:
@ David Thompson #19
Thank you, you have very effectively outlined the fundamental flaws that Americans see in this man. He seeks a two party Nation, those in power and those who will be nothing but the labor that supports him and his kind. For all the trolls who wish to defend charges of Obama being a Socialist, you are either misinformed or lovers of Socialism. Obama told us to judge him by who he surrounded himself with, well we have.