Gallup Polling Predicts GOP Tsunami Ahead
After an unheard of record deficit of $1.4 Trillion in 2009 the Obama regime followed up this year with a $1.3 Trillion deficit.
The Obama-Pelosi regime will make Americans pay for their failed policies.
In return, it looks like Americans are about to make them pay at the polls.
Forget about a wave, Gallup shows a GOP tsunami in November.
Gallup’s recent modeling of the vote for Congress finds 54% of likely voters identifying themselves as politically conservative, while moderates are in conspicuously short supply compared with recent midterms. Also, Republicans make up a larger share of the electorate in Gallup’s initial 2010 likely voter pool — greater than their 1994 share — than do Democrats, and the gap is even more pronounced once the leanings of independents are taken into account.
Gallup’s initial likely voter models for the 2010 congressional midterm elections, based on polling conducted between Sept. 23 and Oct. 3, include one projection based on a lower, more typical voter turnout scenario (assuming that approximately 40% of eligible Americans will vote) and a second based on a higher voter turnout scenario (assuming that more than 50% will vote). It is important to note that the historical comparisons of likely voters reported here are based on the 40% turnout assumption for this year — which could still change between now and Nov. 2 — and the final pre-election polls conducted in the four prior midterm election years.
The composition of likely voters appears to have become more politically polarized, with the proportions of conservatives and liberals expanding since 1994 at moderates’ expense. However, Gallup’s initial 2010 estimate of likely voters shows a particularly sharp jump in the percentage of conservatives, from 42% in 2006 to 54% today, and a decline in the percentage of moderates, from 37% to 27%.
This ideological change is accompanied by a concomitant shift toward Republicans, who have a nine-percentage-point advantage over Democrats in the likely voter pool: 39% vs. 30% at this point, one month before the elections. This exceeds the GOP’s five- and six-point advantages in Gallup’s final pre-election polls in 1994 and 2002