Super-Shocker— Two Polls Show Massachusetts Senate Race as Toss Up – Scott Brown Surging (Updated)
Posted by Jim Hoft on Saturday, January 9, 2010, 8:07 PM
Surging Republican Scott Brown told Sean Hannity last night that he will vote against Obamacare:
Now check this out…
Public Policy Polling reported today that the Massachusetts Senate race is now a toss up.
Buoyed by a huge advantage with independents and relative disinterest from Democratic voters in the state, Republican Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 48-47.
Here are the major factors leading to this surprising state of affairs:
-As was the case in the Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia last year, it looks like the electorate in Massachusetts will be considerably more conservative than the one that showed up in 2008. Obama took the state by 26 points then, but those planning to vote next week only report having voted for him by 16.
-Republicans are considerably more enthusiastic about turning out to vote than Democrats are. 66% of GOP voters say they are ‘very excited’ about casting their votes, while only 48% of Democrats express that sentiment- and that’s among the Democrats who are planning to vote in contrast to the many who are apparently not planning to do so at this point.
-Brown has eye popping numbers with independents, sporting a 70/16 favorability rating with them and holding a 63-31 lead in the horse race with Coakley. Health care may be hurting Democratic fortunes with that group, as only 27% of independents express support for Obama’s plan with 59% opposed.
Also, there are reports that the Boston Herald’s poll that will be released tomorrow shows Coakley leading Brown by only 1 point among likely voters.
Toss up.
William Jacobson reported from the Brown headquarters today.
** You can contribute to Scott Brown’s campaign here
UPDATE: Liberal corporate lobbying firms are lining up to help bail out Coakley’s campaign.
UPDATE: Jules Crittenden says their is no Boston Herald poll that shows Brown within one of Coakley.
ADVERTISEMENT
-
Featured Story:
Busted!… Obama Headlined a DEMOCRAT SOCIALISTS OF AMERICA Event in 1996 **FLIER**
Published May 24, 2012 at 8:46 pm - 58 Comments
KR commented:
Awaiting the Mass. Earthquake on the 19th!
I wish Teddy could see this.
Finncrisp commented:
Go Scotty Go. I pray the results are not close enough to be stolen, as in Minnesota, when the gutless court would not call for a runoff.
jonyjoe101 commented:
This poll is a bunch of @%$#, unless they go to the cemetery and ask the dead voters who they plan to vote for.
Once a liberal voter always a liberal voter even when your 6 foot under. I think even Ted Kennedy will be voting in this one.
Thats why Martha Coakley isn’t worry, she knows how the game is played, I think she is still on vacation that’s how confident she is.
nacilbupera commented:
This is wonderful news from a real poll by a Democratic organization (PPP). It’s now on Wikipedia as well: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Massachusetts,_2010#Polling_3
rumcrook commented:
I have to agree with jonyjoe101. he needs to be 10 points ahead to keep them from gaming the system.
only children and fools believe democrats hold fair elections.
Ruth Anne commented:
I’m finding a little delight in watching this unfold. Oh, and don’t forget that the third name on the ballot is ‘Joseph L. Kennedy.’ He’s the no-relation-to-those-Kennedys Libertarian.
Hee.
curt commented:
America’s first revolution was born in Massachusetts. It looks like America’s 2nd may start there as well. God Speed Scott Brown
Sandy commented:
If Scott Brown pulls this out then in addition to being an attractive Kennedyesque candidate — he will stop Healthcare. I can hardly breathe I am so excited.
Jim commented:
I am skeptical of PPP polls. This is the same left leaning outfit that said Doug Hoffman was ahead in NY-23. They do this to frighten and sound the alarm with the libs to get off their ass and vote.
A close race even with Brown loosing is likely to trigger another wave of early retirements among dems.
A Scott Brown win, oh man, too much to think about. They will all know they are in trouble.
Best case scenario, Brown wins, and enough worried DEMS secretly behind the scenes make sure the bill has to be voted on again in the Senate with Brown. Then they can save face in their own party by claiming Republicans killed the bill.
Sandy commented:
In a state where voter registrants are overwhelming Democratic — he must be getting a lot of support in that area.
A Responsible American commented:
Scott needs to win by a BIG margin. The Democrats are already planning how to screw over MA voters by delaying the results: http://tinyurl.com/ybva8zn
Craig Bardo commented:
Well, he’s better than a Democrat but “everyone’s entitled to insurance?”!!! This isn’t the British Conservative Party which accepts the premise of a better managed Leviathan, is it? Did I mis-hear him?
karen commented:
Please believe, and DONATE. Be positive. I live in CA and I gave. One more thing…pray.
8 My Foot commented:
Forget it people. In a close race, thanks to acorn, a Democrat will always win.
I’m taking bets (R) loses in a close race.
Stephen commented:
@ Jim #11 and Responsible American #13
I agree full-heatedly…as I said yesterday on another thread about this:
“Call me a realist, but unless Brown wins by at least 2% of the vote, nothing will happen in order to stop Obamacare. The left will cry recount for months in order to keep Brown out of power given the carbon tax on the back burner (despite record cold). The closening of the polls will also mean all of the LWL’s (left wing loons) will be out in force to vote for the dead and those who never existed to begin with in order to skew the result.
Not to mention this will only intensify the ’secret negotiations’ and ‘justify’ going to ever greater lengths to reconcile the bills ASAP even if it means doubling or tripling the bribe money, so long as it can be voted on before the special election. These people have no shame, never did and unless by an act of God, never will.”
As for NY 23, that was different given that Hoffman was a third party candidate and only really got in the spotlight at the very end. People may be enthusiastic about a third party prior to an election, but when the time comes they are always less likely to vote that way. It’s based on fear, fear that their candidate won’t get enough votes to win and by voting for them you throw your vote away or worse yet help the candidate you oppose win. At least this is not like that, its one hurdle that doesn’t have to be crossed, though the above listed ones are more than enough.
Jayne on the left coast commented:
i just sent a contribution. I live in SO. CA. Not one cent to the RNC. Only donate to candidates.
karen commented:
Please BELIEVE. Work hard and donate if you can. I also live in So. Cal. AND because we have so little hope here in the golden state, I like to believe Scott Brown can do this!! Work hard and move forward, do not listen to the naysayers.
Jim commented:
If the house votes to accept the Senate bill verbatim it will never go back to the Senate at all. It will go straight to Obama.
Let’s hope a full scale riot breaks out in the house of representatives with the progressives and Stupak crowd.
If it goes to reconcilation, even without Brown in the Senate someone like Nelson who is feeling immense heat might bail, along with Landrieux, Lincoln, Bayh, and a few others.
It should become apparent soon, if not already, that these people are being expected to fall on the sword for Obama. Hopefully they(so called moderate DEMS) soon realize he doesn’t give a damn about them. In his mind, if they can’t keep their seat, they will find someone that can.
nadadhimmi commented:
Don’t get over excited here people. Mass is a lost State. To liberal for too long to ever go back. The people there are hopelessly addicted to the dole. They need the needle of welfare in their veins to survive. Believe me, the Dems will win even if they have to simply abrogate free elections. They have already stated they will not swear in the Republican until after the next healthcare fraud vote is taken in the Senate. Dems ARE the law in that corrupt tax hellhole. Could it be any clearer how the regime there says eff you to the people and the people just shut up and kiss a$$ as they are darn well told.
karen commented:
Okay #20 Pelosi already said she was NOT accepting the Senate bill. I saw it today.
And #21 I live in a lost state called California. Maybe just maybe there are a lot of people in MA that are fed up!! Plenty of us fed up and working hard here.
Crystal commented:
We felt the same way in NJ, Nadad and when Christie won, we were shocked that such a liberal state would turn it around, so there is always hope that enough people in MA are sick to death of where these left wing loons want to take our country.
GO SCOTT, GO!
Wes commented:
This SoCal boy just sent a hundy to Scott. I look at it as an investment in my young son’s future.
I hope that the good folks in MA and elsewhere in the great country remember us left-coast conseratives when its our turn to throw Boxer, Arnold and Palowsy to the curb.
BTW: not a cent to the RNC.
8 My Foot commented:
#22, Pelosi also said the House wouldn’t even vote on their bill before the New Year, then the snuck in at night and voted on it. She also said lots of stuff that they weren’t going to do, and they did. She’s a liar, pure and simple. She’s going to vote on anything, just to ram it through.
Teddy's SEARCH+RESCUE commented:
If Brown wins, this will show great disrespect to OUR FOUNDER’S Family – http://www.FATBOY.cc
KR commented:
The http://hillbuzz.org/ site is upbeat! You can’t win if you give up.
THIS... IS CNN commented:
http://www.LIVESHOT.cc will be making the rounds on Sunday.
SoCalConservative commented:
Chalk up another Californian who sent money in–just last night. I also sent the Brown for US Sentate link to a handful of people who really care about what is going on, and hopefully they’ll send more money in or have a contact in Massachusetts! We need to keep pushing hard and fighting on this, because truly, our children’s futures are at stake (and maybe ours when we are forced onto Obamacare.) Spread the word…
sybilll commented:
I have committed to again donate to Brown during the 1/11 moneybomb. Great advice from the Hillbuzz fellas, “don’t feed the trolls”, and the naysayers that are trying to convince MA voters to stay home, as all is lost, and Coakley will win regardless. Volunteer, donate, and pray!
SoCalConservative commented:
oops, sorry about the typo…Brown for US Senate (non Sentate.)
Larry Sheldon commented:
Hooptydoo. He gets elected. Time passes. Hell freezes over. More time passes. When all the dirty work has been done, he gets sworn in.
Sandy commented:
Just checked out Hillbuzz and all the Former Dems are pumped about Scott Brown too. They are worried that the Dems will try to depress the vote for Brown but I’m not worried because we have gotten used to the media raining on our parade and have tuned them out. As for Gov. Patrick, I doubt he would be able to hold up certification because his job is on the line too.
Guys if we can do this in Massachusetts where Dems vastly outnumber Republicans we can do this anywhere.
jainphx commented:
The nay sayers are going to get louder as we get closer, just don’t listen. We can do this stay strong and vote, and drag everyone you know with you.
Sandy commented:
I wonder how Congressional Dems are reacting to Brown’s poll numbers. They can see the writing on the wall. Perhaps they are not going to be so eager to end their careers so that Obama can have something to brag about. I cannot understand how they have allowed themselves to be beaten into submission this long.
jainphx commented:
The Dems only care about two things, power and money, and you get one with the other. Dems will be glad to go down with the ship, the golden parachute will keep them from hitting to hard.
jerryl commented:
i think we should do away with life time pensions for elected people that i think would keep them more accountible to us the voters because thats why these dems dont care win or lose an election they still get their money for the rest of their lives gee wish i had a job like that oh btw i gave to scot brown as well i live in pa land of murtha n spector help
MissTammy commented:
Yes, Mass is true, deep blue.
But I’m tellin’ y’all, I have friends there…. yellow-dog Democrats mind you….. good, honest, hard-working, middle class people who are mad as hell about this health care bill; they will be taxed heavily for it, in a state that is already heavily taxed, and for something they have no need for. (They have mandatory health care already, remember?)
Also, keep in mind that all of the September 11th flights originated in Boston. They are VERY concerned about terrorism there, and ain’t too damn impressed with Obambi’s handling of the War on Terror by any means. Scott Brown’s strong stance on this plays VERY well indeed. And he presents a very different image of a Republican than the rich white anti-workin’ man stereotype they’ve all been brought up to believe in.
I like his chances. And I love that quote about the second American Revolution starting in Mass. Let’s roll!
Old One commented:
HillBuzz is a blog run by former Hillaryites who during the democreeps primaries learned how corrupt, dishonest, and evil the acolytes and Chicago thugs of B+ Odumber were. They know are fighting to save our Republic and freedom from the cabal that runs the Whitehouse by supporting and working for the election of Sarah Palin and Scott Brown.
Below is a link to the site outlining how we can all get involved. The sight also has scott brown’s knockout daughter singing the National Anthem at the Boston Pops last summerand a list of how we can all fight to bring down the tyrants that rule from Pennsylvania Avenuein the District of Corruption. I have sent two contribution to Scott and will even pay my way to Massachusetts to work as a campaign volunteer if i can make a connection.
http://hillbuzz.org/2010/01/10/sunday-open-thread-january-10th-2010/
Old One commented:
Even if Scott Brown loses by 10% in deep blue Massachusetts it means every Democorrupt sebnte seat up for election in November is in play. B+ Odumber , Axelrat, and Deadfish are certainly soiling their drawers and laying plans to create a crisis and declare martial law before the elections because not even ACORN and the SEIU thugs can save the Won and his marxist democrap goons from defeat at the polls.
anonymous commented:
Is Mr. Brown conservative? I think he is just another Mitt Romney. In the New England states, the Republicans don’t have many conservative up there. They were called the ‘Rockefeller Republican’. They are just like the Liberal Democrat and they support high taxes.
Nahanni commented:
The Corruptocrat party machine will stop at nothing to make sure that Coakley gets “elected”.
You will see the dead rise, every major cartoon character (including Foghorn Leghorn who has always been underrated in my book) and the every member of the 1972 Minnesota Viking football team vote for Coakley to ensure that Teddy Kennedy’s stays Corruptocrat.
Agent 99 commented:
Old One….Contact http://the-raw-deal.com/2010/01/05/curt-schilling-heavily-endorses-scott-brown via his website!! He had a Fundraiser at his home for Scott and Scott was there! We (at GWP) were invited. But I live too far South!
Arch commented:
Professor John Gaski had an interesting piece yesterday over on American Thinker that says the democrats have a plan to steal all future elections:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/01/understanding_the_democrats_sc.html
The components are amnesty for illegals, massive fraudulent voter registration by ACORN and the SEIU, third party candidates, stimulus funding, universal voter registration and health care.
I am not quite as pessimistic as Prof. Gaski, but we all must understand that the election game has changed for the worse.
The keys are, of course, Governorships (and their appointed Secretaries of State) in swing states. That is, of course, why Virginia and New Jersey are so important. There are two more assumption that I think need to change. (1) The idea that we must compromise with the Left and (2) that we need to play the game in a gentile fashion.
Compromise means that the Left gets half of what they want today and the other half tomorrow. Witness the abortion debate. They get public funding for “some” abortions. Next year it will be all abortions and later, partial birth abortions. Another compromise is voting for Blue Dogs who have voted against all of Obama’s socialist programs. Take no prisoners. Any member of Congress who votes for Reid or Pelosi in caucus, must change sides or be defeated.
The Republican National Committee must grow a pair. Rather than accepting Franken’s election, it should he been carried to the Supreme Court. Same with the Philadelphia voter intimidation case. Same with ridding themselves of the military vote. We need local observers at every polling place with video phones and teams or “linebackers” big guys we can call if the NBP, ACORN or SEIU want to get rough. If we do what Nixon did in 1960, we will never get rid of the Nanny State.
TaSS commented:
The NY unions have already fired up letters to our NY Senators promising if they go through with the health care bill with the cadillac tax included, come election time, they are staying home.
Go Scott go!
It gives us all hope for the future.
The American revolution started in Boston. It would be fitting if MA once again “fired the first shot,” so we can take back our government.
NC Cop commented:
Don’t kid yourselves, ACORN, SEIU, and the rest of Obama’s hit squads will not allow this seat to go to a Republican.
Watch for serious and obvious tampering in this election. Then watch our media completely ignore it so they can trash Palin about something.
Arch commented:
You gotta love spell check! I meant to say “genteel” but my computer decided to correct it to “gentile.”
willis commented:
To all you folks in Mass working for Scott Brown. Our nation owes you a vote of appreciation regardless of the outcome of the election. The outcome does matter, but for the first time people are showing the courage to fight for their own convictions in government regardless of party positions and that matters too. Please don’t be discouraged by the public relations campaign aginst you. The media/professional politicians are so worried because because they fear you.
willis cook
atlanta, ga
Bruce Cunningham commented:
I am from Texas and contributed to Scott Browns campaign. Yesterday I got an email from Browns campaign titled ‘Here they come’ stating the radical lefty group Moveon.org is setting up an office in Neolean Mass and SEIU is moving in from all over, The tea party from Conneticut is going in droves to Mass. to be poll watchers. Most Massitutians (sp) are conservative fiscally but vote liberal. The RNC has been providing people and money quietly to Brown. This is exciting but it shows when the people speak and the insulated washington polititions dont listen we will do all it takes to take our Country back, Keep up the good work my fellow Patriots, ‘We have yet begun to fight’
dallasdan commented:
After the third re-count, the dems will score a narrow win.
Solaratov commented:
anonymous
January 10th, 2010 | 5:54 am | #43
Is Mr. Brown conservative? I think he is just another Mitt Romney. In the New England states, the Republicans don’t have many conservative up there. They were called the ‘Rockefeller Republican’. They are just like the Liberal Democrat and they support high taxes.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
A fine example of the sort of trolls that we can expect where democRAT seats are on the line.
I guess that this is meant to convince Republicans to just stay home and not bother to vote for Brown — since “he’s not *really* a Conservative”.
Sorry, cupcake. That sort of crap isn’t going to work. No “eeyores” here.
seashell from MA commented:
Thank you so much from everyone across the nation who is supporting Scott Brown with your money and your prayers. We conservatives here in MA are doing all that we can to get SCott elected. Remember 50% of voters here are “independent” and they are pissed. If I see any SEIU thugs or ACORN nuts at the polling place, I will sic my dog on them. My ear is aching from all the phone calls I’ve made. I will be driving people to the polls. Shoot, I’ll drag them there if I have to. We must elect SCOTT BROWN. Pray for the U.S.A.
nycgal commented:
im from nyc..and i contributed. i m also black. i am scared for my country. i also will contribute again(my daughter 2day has my card) i will be making calls. Go Scott. we need you
Don commented:
If we did it in New Jersey, they can do it in Massachusetts. It can happen!