Only 103 of 435 House Seats Now Safe For Dems In 2010 Election
Posted by Jim Hoft on Friday, January 22, 2010, 3:34 PM
(Zazzle)
Team Pelosi better turn the corner quick or November will be a slaughter for radical majority in Washington. Michael Barone is reporting at The Washington Examiner that only 103 of 235 House seats are now safe for democrats.
Republican Scott Brown won 52%-47% in Massachusetts, which voted 62%-36% for Barack Obama in 2008. How did he do in each of Massachusetts’s 10 congressional districts, all of which are represented by Democrats who have been reelected without much opposition this decade? Blogger Fred Bauer has attempted to calculate the results, omitting results in cities or towns which are split between congressional districts. Bauer shows Coakley winning 80%-20% in Michael Capuano’s 8th district (which voted 84% for Obama), 54%-46% in Ed Markey’s 7th district (65% Obama) and 51%-49% in John Olver’s western Mass 1st district (64% Obama). He shows Coakley narrowly trailing in Barney Frank’s 4th district (63% Obama), where I think the Fall River precincts he didn’t count would have put Coakley narrowly ahead, and in Stephen Lynch’s 9th district (60% Obama) he shows her well behind but doesn’t include the Boston wards and precincts which may have put her ahead, although I rather doubt it.
Anyway, there’s a pattern here: Coakley carries districts where Obama got 65% or more of the vote and runs essentially even in the district where he got 64%, and Scott Brown runs ahead in districts where Obama got less than 64% of the vote.
Let’s extrapolate those numbers to the nation as a whole and assume that a district that voted 64% or more for Obama is safe for Democrats even under the most dire of circumstances. How many such districts are there? Answer, according to this source: 103. The other 332 districts voted 63% or less for Obama. Interestingly, there are more 64%+ Obama districts in the West (36) than in the East (27) and more in the South (21) than in the Midwest (19).
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Published May 24, 2012 at 8:46 pm - 56 Comments
czekmark commented:
November can’t come soon enough.
gus commented:
Racists.
pamlinson commented:
NONE OF THESE CRIMINALS ARE SAFE, there needs to be some prison time starting from the TOP DOWN
Bill Mitchell commented:
But Obama is gonna make a comeback because today in Ohio (Michigan?) he promised to “fight for us!”
Oh boy.
Its amazing to hear Obama speak. He says so little. He basically just lists all of America’s problems, blame someone else, and then has no solution and all the idiot left calls him “brilliant”.
What the heck does “fighting for us” mean in real world actions?
The Watcher commented:
They told Caesar to ‘beware the Ides of March’. Somebody best be telling House Dems to ‘beware the day after the Kalends of November’.
Corporal Vere commented:
I’m with pamlinson #4.
They should be remanded to Devil’s Island.
Guantamo is too good for them.
mpw280 commented:
There is a huge qualifier on this, if republicans run campaigns like Brown’s. That has been the problem with republicans, they don’t run good candidates or campaigns for the most part. I have been reading that Romney was a big part of the behind the scenes action for Brown. Brown also seems to be a great candidate with no real skeletons in the closet, no nutty ideas about creationism/evolution, no nanny’s without green cards, ugly divorces from Hollywood starlets, or other problems. These guys seem to be few and far between when the gop is looking for people to run for office. Who wants to be run through the liberal press’ grinder? I wouldn’t. Anybody want to step up and file for election? mpw
Haisaki commented:
Get that piece of crap OFamadumba out of office — he destroyed the U.S.A. while calling 50% of its citizens failures. He is a hater and a devider and hates America and loves those dictators he bows too —soooo low.
Tom63010 commented:
This article is a stretch at best. I hope they are right.
Joke of the day commented:
Friday night funny:
LOOKING FOR WORK
An Israeli doctor says ‘Medicine in my country is so advanced that we can take a kidney out of one man, put it in another, and have him looking for work in six weeks
A German doctor says ‘That is nothing; we can take a lung out of one person, put it in another, and have him looking for work in four weeks.’
A Russian doctor says ‘In my country, medicine is so advanced that we can take half a heart out of one person, put it in another, and have them both looking for work in two weeks.’
An ILLINOIS doctor, not to be outdone, says ‘you guys are way behind. We recently took a man with no brains out of ILLINOIS , put him in the White House for SIX MONTHS, and now half the COUNTRY is looking for work.
_
pagar commented:
There should be NO safe seats for any Democrat.
manateespirit commented:
I listened to part of O’s speech today in Ohio. What a joker! He sounds like he is on the campaign trail. He is NOT a leader for America, he’s a never ending political candidate. Huge yawn.
Based on their agenda and their leader, I predict the Dems are in serious trouble this year.
BurmaShave commented:
The next, and probably last, special election is for the 19th Congressional district of Florida. It is coming up April 13 (except for the election for Governor of Hawaii in May).
Check out Ed Lynch at http://www.electlynch.com
He may be worth supporting in the same way Scott Brown was supported. By the way, working on the Scott Brown Campaign, I learned that early money is far more valuable than late money, because it much more significantly impacts the scope of the campaign’s tactics.
Citizen Cue commented:
Only places I wouldn’t be suprised seeing dems elected would be Oregon, California, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania and New York. I’d be real surprised seeing one elected elsewhere all things considered.
BA commented:
Interesting that one of these “safe” districts is where my sister lives. And although she has never been politically active, yesterday she contacted the R running against the incumbent. I have agreed to help her and my daughter (who contributed to the Brown campaign) has agreed to make a contribution.
The fact that the incumbent, no doubt, feels invincible is one of the factors I count in our favor. Scott Brown didn’t manage to sneak in with a win but I think a good candidate in some of these areas just might have a chance. There is a new political dynamic so I will be expecting the unexpected in 2010.
CARMELLA commented:
check out http://www.goooh.com
they are attempting to replace all members of congress
CoCo Joe commented:
The most obvious place to house the criminal minds that currently “run” America is Alcatraz. What better example to set than an island of liberals in sight of San Francisco?
Now I know the parks dept would bemoan the loss of tourist dollars, but I would pay to see Pelosi scrub toilets… Wouldn’t you? I’ll bet a lot of people would.
Hell — I might go twice.
Hedgehog commented:
Democrat = Progressive = Communist. Take it from there. Anyone who votes for a Democrat or a Rupublican Progressive is voting for tyranny. That is the bottom line. The taxpayers of this country are waking up and not buying the agenda of the movement. While we can still bring about a peaceful change at the ballot box, we should do everything in our power to do so. But we must know that they will resort to anything to win, and the result will be very ugly. I pray that the forces of good will come together and overwhelm them
at the ballot box. But failing that, they are in for one hell of a fight. We are not going down that road.
islamic commented:
Obama is a Islamic-dictator–he talks like one, prays like one and supports his insane radical communist people, radicals who are “racists”, pediphiles..goat lovers, and warmongers, killers of babies and women. Plus he lies, lies, lies 444 times on TV–he wants to be a movie star.
He is SO narcisstic always talking about his-self! He did try to medicare, back door deals-he never cut anything out of the budget! 0.0003%-he also did a deal with the UNIONS!!! Geez—he is sooooo tone death!!!! he is wacko…
Militant Conservative commented:
ignore troll post #4, this is the best you have Gus?
LOL, we have facts and history on our side. I fear you not. Progressives will now double down and dig in thier heels as all they have worked for in cover of darkness is now revieled to the masses. I stand with Hedgehog and others of his stripe. We Patriots are armed and ready to strike should the non military defense force want to try anything. We are homeland security. Constitution and law are our demands. All others are irrellivant. powder is dry.
SukieTawdry commented:
Imagine accomplishing all this in the mere space of a year!